Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 4.911741 5.594617 6.347375 7.240254 8.272431 9.430471 10.831423
2025-03-23 4.111566 5.026952 6.116810 7.515956 9.272972 11.417326 14.249446
2025-03-30 3.547283 4.567631 5.853281 7.603971 9.944026 12.989417 17.294325
2025-04-06 3.102020 4.163461 5.563265 7.562870 10.375952 14.236899 20.014113
2025-04-13 2.748868 3.821481 5.291955 7.480554 10.698755 15.325244 22.603277
2025-04-20 2.557815 3.672040 5.254898 7.701875 11.451194 17.080551 26.365487
2025-04-27 2.382443 3.520472 5.189833 7.860910 12.110305 18.750433 30.193621
2025-05-04 2.263985 3.437206 5.210860 8.142716 12.976742 20.824833 34.934500
2025-05-11 2.051782 3.187489 4.949098 7.943378 13.034683 21.578819 37.517653
2025-05-18 1.887771 2.997136 4.760283 7.837822 13.227163 22.564289 40.616451
2025-05-25 1.747882 2.832307 4.595790 7.752246 13.436812 23.589921 43.906289
2025-06-01 1.614843 2.666765 4.414234 7.616260 13.536347 24.417818 46.912727
2025-06-08 1.485951 2.499464 4.218403 7.441178 13.555169 25.115371 49.797991
2025-06-15 1.447342 2.484481 4.284329 7.745885 14.504585 27.695772 56.906839
2025-06-22 1.379482 2.411675 4.240405 7.839626 15.053523 29.547572 62.738806
2025-06-29 1.298500 2.308353 4.131758 7.797494 15.324513 30.860227 67.568128
2025-07-06 1.219181 2.201711 4.007801 7.712429 15.496097 31.979504 72.114120
2025-07-13 1.186207 2.179023 4.039835 7.941286 16.347315 34.658644 80.749644
2025-07-20 1.147487 2.142117 4.040921 8.105745 17.076339 37.153220 89.330819
2025-07-27 1.125346 2.135485 4.100374 8.397188 18.116220 40.483662 100.575868
2025-08-03 1.051545 2.021151 3.935074 8.191031 18.006409 41.100077 104.803731
2025-08-10 0.993378 1.934179 3.818986 8.081870 18.109298 42.239753 110.630558
2025-08-17 0.941556 1.856542 3.716400 7.993375 18.251276 43.491845 116.976446